Труды сотрудников ИЛ им. В.Н. Сукачева СО РАН

. . \b \b0 / A.P. Abaimov, O.A. Zyryanova, S.G. Prokushkin // Eurasian Journal of Forest Research. - 2002. - Vol. 5-2. - С. 95-106

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

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Zyryanova, Olga Alexandrovna; Зырянова Ольга Александровна; Prokushkin, Stanislav Grigor'yevich; Абаимов Анатолий Платонович

: материалы временных коллективов / E.I. Parfenova, N.M. Tchebakova, V.V. Stasova // Ecosystems of Mongolia and frontier areas of adjacent countries: natural resources, biodiversity and ecological prospects. - Ulaanbaatar : MAS and RAS, 2005. - С. 397-399

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

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Tchebakova, Nadezhda Mikhailovna; Чебакова, Надежда Михайловна; Stasova, Victoria Victorovna; Стасова, Виктория Викторовна; Парфенова, Елена Ивановна

: материалы временных коллективов / V. S. Myglan // Climatic changes and their impact on boreal and temperate forests: Abstracts of the International conference (June 5-7, Ekaterinburg, Russia) : Ural State Forest Engineering University, 2006. - С. 68-69

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Мыглан, Владимир Станиславович

: материалы временных коллективов / V. S. Myglan // Climate change and their impact on boreal and temperate forests: Abstracts of the International Conference (June 5-7, 2006, Ekaterinburg, Russia). - 2006. - С. 68

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50, стр., 28

Доп.точки доступа:
Мыглан, Владимир Станиславович
Имеются экземпляры в отделах:
РСФ (31.01.2008г. (1 экз.) - Б.ц.) - свободны 1

: материалы временных коллективов / V. I. Kharuk, K. Ranson, M. Dvinskaya // Eurasian Journal of Forest Research. - 2007. - Vol. 10-2. - С. 163-171. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: Models of climate warming predict the migration of "warm-adapted' species to habitates of "cold-adapted" species. Here we show evidence of expansion of "dark-needle" conifers (DNC: Siberian pine, spruce and fir) into the habitat of larch, the leader in adaptation to harsh climatic conditions in Asia. The studies were made along two transects oriented from the western and southern borders of a larch dominated forest to its center. The invasion of DNC into the historical larch habitat was quantified as an increase of the proportion of those species both in the overstory and in regeneration. The age structure of regeneration showed that regeneration occurred mainly during the last 2-3 decades. In particular warm winter temperatures promote the survival regenerated Siberian pine. The results obtained indicate the climate-driven migration of Siberian pine, spruce and fir into traditional zone of larch dominance. Substitution of a deciduous conifer (larch) by evergreen conifers decreases the albedo and may provide positive feedback for temperature increases.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50, стр., 28

Доп.точки доступа:
Ranson, K.J.; Рэнсон К.Дж.; Dvinskaya, Mariya Leonidovna; Двинская, Мария Леонидовна; Харук, Вячеслав Иванович
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: материалы временных коллективов / Robert A. Monserud [и др.] // Canadian Journal of Forest Research. - 2008. - Vol. 38, № 2. - С. 343-352. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: We estimated the impact of global climate change on lodgepole pine site productivity in Alberta based on the Alberts Climate Model and the A2 SRES climate change scenario projections from three global circulation models (CGCM2, HADCM3, and ECHAM4). Cosiderable warming ia apparent in all three models. On average, the increases in mean GDD5 (growing degree-day 5 degrees C) are 18%, 38%, and 65% by the 2020s, 2050s, respectively. Change in precipitation is essentially nil. This results in proportioanal increases in dryness index. We used the dryness index to predict the potential future range and GDD5 to predict its potential productivity.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50, стр., 28

Доп.точки доступа:
Monserud, R.A.; Монсеруд Р.А.; Yang, Yugine; Янг И. Юджин; Huang, Shongming; Хуанг С.С.; Tchebakova, Nadezhda Mikhailovna; Чебакова, Надежда Михайловна

: материалы временных коллективов / N. M. Tchebakova, E. I. Parfenova, A. J. Soja // Environmental change in Siberia: earth observation, field studies and modelling. - Dordrecht et. al. : Springer, 2010. - С. 67-82. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: Analyses demonstrate the far-reaching effects of a changing climate on vegetation cover. Hot spots of potential Siberian vegetation change are predicted for 1990. Observations of vegetation change in Siberia have already been documented in the literature. Vegetation habitats should be significantly perturbed by 2020, and markedly perturbed by 2080. Because of a dryer climate, forest-steppe and steppe-ecosystems, rather than forests, are predicted to dominate central Siberian landscapes. Despite the predicted increase in warming, permafrost is not predicted to thaw deep enough to support dark taiga over the Siberian plain, where the larch taiga will cntinue to be the dominant zonobiome. On the contrary, in the southern mountains in the absence of permafrost, dark taiga is predicted to remain the dominant orobiome.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Parfenova, Elena Ivanovna; Парфенова, Елена Ивановна; Soja, A.J.; Соджа А.Дж.; Чебакова, Надежда Михайловна

: материалы временных коллективов / V. V. Shishov, E. A. Vaganov // Environmental change in Siberia: earth observation, field studies and modelling. - Dordrecht et. al. : Springer, 2010. - С. 101-114. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: A major focus of the study described here is an attempt to reveal the nature of local and any widespread tree-growth responses to the recent warming seen in the industrial observations. Namely, this chapter didcusses spatial variation in the trends of radial tree-ring growth in Siberia and Far EAST DURING DIFFERENT PERIODS OF THE 18TH CENTURIES. That distribution of trends is compared with spatial NDVI trends and temperature changes in the northern hemisphere over the past 20 years.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Vaganov, Yevgeny Alexandrovich; Ваганов Евгений Александрович; Шишов, Владимир Валерьевич

: материалы временных коллективов / V. I. Kharuk [и др.] // Environmental change in Siberia: earth observation, field studies and modelling. - Dordrecht et. al. : Springer, 2010. - С. 115-132. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: The tree response to climate trends is most likely observable in the forest-tundra ecotone where temperature limits tree growth. Here we show that trees in the forest-tundra ecotone of the mid of the south Siberian Mountains responded strongly to wasrmer temperatures during the past two decades. There was a growth increment increase, stand densification, regeneration propogation into the alpine tundra, and transformation of prostrate Siberian pine, larch and fir into another arboreal forms.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Kharuk, Vyacheslav Ivanovich; Харук, Вячеслав Иванович; Ranson, K.J.; Рэнсон К.Дж.; Dvinskaya, Mariya Leonidovna; Двинская, Мария Леонидовна; Im, Sergey Tkhekdyeyevich; Им, Сергей Тхекдеевич

: материалы временных коллективов / V. I. Kharuk, S. T. Im, M. L. Dvinskaya // Boreal forests in a changing world: challenges and needs for action: Proceedings of the International conference August 15-21 2011, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. - Krasnoyarsk : V.N. Sukachev Institute of forest SB RAS, 2011. - С. 219-222. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: Warming induced (1) tree upward and northward migration and (2) krummholz transformation in alpine and northern ecotones, (3) a "dark needle conifers (DNC)" migration within "mixed taiga - zone of larch dominance" ecotone, (4) growth increment increase and stand denisification, (4) DNC proportion increase, which should lead an albedo decrease, amplifying warming at local scale. Observed radial and apical growth increment increases were correlated with both, air temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentration increases.

Держатели документа:
Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Im, Sergey Tkhekdyeyevich; Dvinskaya, Mariya Leonidovna; Двинская, Мария Леонидовна; Харук, Вячеслав Иванович

: материалы временных коллективов / A. V. Shashkin [и др.] // Boreal forests in a changing world: challenges and needs for action: Proceedings of the International conference August 15-21 2011, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. - Krasnoyarsk : V.N. Sukachev Institute of forest SB RAS, 2011. - С. 267-270. - Библиогр. в конце ст.
Аннотация: Experimental stands were situated along two altitudinal transects in permafrost between the upper border of closed forest and upper tree-line. Better hydrothermal properties of soil affect higher radial growth rate and good biometric parameters of larch trees, growing along the upper boundary "an open larch stand - tundra" in comparison with those in the lower stands, despite the fact that they have later start of growth. The result is another argument in favor of this point of view: along a tree-line favorable hydrothermal soil conditions develop at any change scenario (cooling or warming).

Держатели документа:
Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Shashkin, Alexandr Vladimirovich; Шашкин, Александр Владимирович; Benkova, Vera Yefimovna; Бенькова, Вера Ефимовна; Prokushkin, Anatoly Stanislavovich; Прокушкин, Анатолий Станиславович; Simanko, A.V.; Симанко А.В.; Naurzbaev, Mukhtar Mukhametovich; Наурзбаев, Мухтар Мухаметович

: материалы временных коллективов / N. M. Tchebakova // Workshop on climate change, the tree growth response, and reconstruction of climate 25-29 January 2006, V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. - Krasnoyarsk : V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, 2006. - С. 28
Аннотация: The results show enormous changes in the vegetation cover of Siberia for a warmed climate. Southern vegetation types such as southen taiga, subtaiga, and forest-steppe are expected to expand from about 10% to 70% coverage. This increase in coverage would be largely at the expense of northern and middle taiga each of which would then occupy less than 20%. Some contemporary climatypes are projected to diappear from Siberia while others common elsewhere would evolve. To mitigate these effects, climatypes should be transferred today to the expected future location of their climatic optima, a distance that is likely to approach 700-1200 km for Siberian species of larches.

Держатели документа:
Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

Доп.точки доступа:
Чебакова, Надежда Михайловна

: материалы временных коллективов / V. S. Myglan // Workshop on climate change, the tree growth response, and reconstruction of climate 25-29 January 2006, V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. - Krasnoyarsk : V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, 2006. - С. 31
Аннотация: This study represents the results of an analysis of long-timescale series of annual observations of the melting and freezing of ice on Siberian rivers (Ob, Irtysh, Enisey, Angara, etc.). The dates of these ice events are related to spring and autumn temperatures. The relation between an indirect indicator of changing summer temperatures, tree-growth indices derived from tree-ring chronologies, and the period of open water is shown.

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Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

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Мыглан, Владимир Станиславович

/ P. . Fonti [et al.] // Am. J. Bot. - 2013. - Vol. 100, Is. 7. - P1332-1343, DOI 10.3732/ajb.1200484. - Cited References: 53. - The authors thank N. S. van Doorn for editing the English. This work has been supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (Project Number 11-04-91153_a) and the Swiss National Science Foundation projects "Identifying seasonal climatic signals from water conducting cells in tree rings" (Nr. IZK0Z3_131408), "Tree growth and forest ecosystem functioning in Eurasia under changing climate" (Nr. IZ73Z0_128035), and "INtra-seasonal Tree growth along Elevational GRAdients in the European Alps" (INTEGRAL, Nr 200021_121859), and the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation (Scientific School 5327.2012.4). . - 12. - ISSN 0002-9122РУБ Plant Sciences

Аннотация: Premise of the study: Xylem structure determines the hydraulic and mechanical properties of a stem, and its plasticity is fundamental for maintaining tree performance under changing conditions. Unveiling the mechanism and the range of xylem adjustment is thus necessary to anticipate climate change impacts on vegetation. Methods: To understand the mechanistic process and the functional impact of xylem responses to warming in a cold-limited environment, we investigated the relationship between temperature and tracheid anatomy along a 312-yr tree-ring chronology of Larix sibirica trees from the Altay Mountains in Russia. Key results: Climate-growth analyses indicated that warming favors wider earlywood cell lumen, thicker laewood walls, denser maximum latewood, and wider rings. The temperature signal of the latewood was stronger (r > 0.7) and covered a longer and more stable period (from June to August) than that of earlywood and tree-ring width. Long-term analyses indicated a diverging trend between lumen and cell wall of early-and latewood. Conclusions: Xylem anatomy appears to respond to warming temperatures. A warmer early-growing season raises water conduction capacity by increasing the number and size of earlywood tracheids. The higher-performing earlywood tracheids promote more carbon fixation of the latewood cells by incrementing the rate of assimilation when summer conditions are favorable for growth. The diverging long-term variation of lumen and cell wall in earlywood vs. latewood suggests that xylem adjustments in latewood increase mechanical integrity and support increasing tree size under the ameliorated growing conditions.

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[Fonti, Patrick] WSL Swiss Fed Res Inst, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
[Bryukhanova, Marina V.
Kirdyanov, Alexander V.] VN Sukachev Inst Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Myglan, Vladimir S.
Naumova, Oksana V.
Vaganov, Eugene A.] Siberian Fed Univ, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia
Институт леса им. В.Н. Сукачева Сибирского отделения Российской академии наук : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок 50/28

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Fonti, P...; Bryukhanova, M.V.; Myglan, V.S.; Kirdyanov, A.V.; Naumova, O.V.; Vaganov, E.A.

/ V. I. Kharuk, M. L. Dvinskaya, K. J. Ranson // Int. J. Wildland Fire. - 2013. - Vol. 22, Is. 2. - P207-211, DOI 10.1071/WF11181. - Cited References: 28. - This research was supported by the SB RAS Program Number 27.33, and NASA Science Mission Directorate, Terrestrial Ecology Program. The authors thank Dr Joanne Howl for editing the manuscript. . - 5. - ISSN 1049-8001РУБ Forestry

Аннотация: A fire history of northern larch forests was studied. These larch forests are found near the northern limit of their range at similar to 71 degrees N, where fires are predominantly caused by lightning strikes rather than human activity. Fire-return intervals (FRIs) were calculated based on fire scars and dates of tree natality. Tree natality was used as an approximation of the date of the last fire. The average FRI was found to be 295 +/- 57 years, which is the longest reported for larch-dominated stands. Prior studies reported 80-90-year FRIs at 64 degrees N and similar to 200 years near the latitude of the Arctic Circle. Comparing data from fires that occurred in 1700-1849 (end of the Little Ice Age, LIA) and 1850-1999 (post-LIA warming) indicates approximately twice as many fires occurred during the latter period. This agrees with the hypothesis that observed climatic warming will result in an increase in fire frequency. Our results also indicate that fires that did not leave visible fire scars on the tree stem may be identified based on the date of growth release revealed from dendrochronology.

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Держатели документа:
[Kharuk, Vyacheslav I.
Dvinskaya, Mariya L.] Siberian Fed Univ, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Ranson, K. Jon] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA

Доп.точки доступа:
Kharuk, V.I.; Dvinskaya, M.L.; Ranson, K.J.

/ O. S. Pokrovsky [et al.] // C. R. Geosci. - 2012. - Vol. 344, Is. 11.12.2013. - P663-677, DOI 10.1016/j.crte.2012.08.003. - Cited References: 81. - This work was supported by ANR "Arctic Metals", LIA "LEAGE", PICS No. 6063, GDRI "CAR WET SIB", grants RFBR-CNRS Nos 12-05-91055, 08-05-00312_a, 07-05-92212-CNRS_a, 08-04-92495-CNRS_a, CRDF RUG1-2980-KR10, Federal Program RF "Kadry" (contract N 14.740.11.0935), and Programs of Presidium RAS and UrORAS. . - 15. - ISSN 1631-0713РУБ Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Аннотация: Warming of the permafrost accompanied by the release of ancient soil organic carbon is one of the most significant environmental threats within the global climate change scenario. While the main sites of permafrost carbon processing and its release to the atmosphere are thermokarst (thaw) lakes and ponds, the main carriers of carbon and related major and trace elements from the land to the Arctic ocean are Russian subarctic rivers. The source of carbon in these rivers is atmospheric C consumed by chemical weathering of rocks and amplified by plant uptake and litter decomposition. This multidisciplinary study describes results of more than a decade of observations and measurements of elements fluxes, stocks and mechanisms in the Russian boreal and subarctic zone, from Karelia region to the Kamchatka peninsula, along the gradient of permafrost-free terrain to continuous permafrost settings, developed on various lithology and vegetation types. We offer a comprehensive, geochemically-based view on the functioning of aquatic boreal systems which quantifies the role of the following factors on riverine element fluxes: (1) the specificity of lithological substrate; (2) the importance of organic and organo-mineral colloidal forms, notably during the snowmelt season; (3) the phenomenon of lakes seasonal overturn; (4) the role of permafrost within the small and large watersheds; and (5) the governing role of terrestrial vegetation in element mobilization from rock substrate to the river. Care of such a multiple approach, a first order prediction of the evolution of element stocks and fluxes under scenario of progressive warming in high latitudes becomes possible. It follows the increase of frozen peat thawing in western Siberia will increase the stocks of elements in surface waters by a factor of 3 to 10 whereas the increase of the thickness of active layer, the biomass and the primary productivity all over permafrost-affected zone will bring about a short-term increase of elements stocks in labile reservoir (plant litter) and riverine fluxes by a factor of 2. The change of the plant productivity and community composition under climate warming in central Siberia will be the most important factor of major and trace element fluxes increase (probably a factor of 2) from the soil to the river and, finally, to the Arctic Ocean. (c) 2012 Academie des sciences. Published by Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.

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[Pokrovsky, Oleg S.
Viers, Jerome
Dupre, Bernard
Audry, Stephane] Univ Toulouse, CNRS IRD OMP, Geosci Environm Toulouse, F-31400 Toulouse, France
[Chabaux, Francois] CNRS, EOST, UMR 7517, CGS, F-67084 Strasbourg, France
[Gaillardet, Jerome] Inst Phys Globe Strasbourg Paris, Equipe Geochim Cosmochim, F-75005 Paris, France
[Prokushkin, Anatoly S.] VN Sukachev Inst Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
[Shirokova, Liudmila S.] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Ecol Problems N, Arkhangelsk, Russia
[Kirpotin, Sergey N.] Tomsk State Univ, Tomsk 634050, Russia
[Lapitsky, Sergey A.] Moscow MV Lomonosov State Univ, Geol Fac, Moscow, Russia
[Shevchenko, Vladimir P.] RAS, PP Shirshov Oceanol Inst, Moscow 117901, Russia

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Pokrovsky, O.S.; Viers, J...; Dupre, B...; Chabaux, F...; Gaillardet, J...; Audry, S...; Prokushkin, A.S.; Shirokova, L.S.; Kirpotin, S.N.; Lapitsky, S.A.; Shevchenko, V.P.

/ N. M. Tchebakova, E. I. Parfenova // Bosque. - 2012. - Vol. 33, Is. 3. - P253-259, DOI 10.4067/S0717-92002012000300004. - Cited References: 22. - We ackowledge the support of the RFFI project 10-05-00941, the NASA LCLUC NEESPI project and NASA Interdisciplinary Science NNH09ZDA001N-IDS. . - 7. - ISSN 0717-9200РУБ Ecology + Forestry

Аннотация: Regional studies have shown that winters warmed 2-3 degrees C while summers warmed 1-2 degrees C during the1960-2010 period in central Siberia. Increased warming predicted from general circulation models (GCMs) by the end of the century is expected to impact Siberian vegetation. Our goal is to evaluate the consequences of climate warming on vegetation, forests, and forest-forming tree species in central Siberia. We use our envelope-type bioclimatic models of the Siberian forests and major tree conifer species based on three climatic indices which characterise their warmth and moisture requirements and cold resistance, and on one soil factor that charactrises their tolerance to permafrost. Coupling our bioclimatic models with the climatic indices and the permafrost distributions, we predict the potential habitats of forests and forest-forming tree species in current climate conditions and also in the 2080 projected climate. In the 2080 drier climate conditions, Siberian forests are simulated to decrease significantly and shift northwards while forest-steppe and steppe would come to dominate 50 % of central Siberia. Permafrost is not predicted to thaw deep enough to sustain dark (Pinus sibirica, Abies sibirica, and Picea obovata) taiga. Dahurian larch (L. gmelinii+cajanderi), which is able to withstand permafrost, would remain the dominant tree species. Light conifers (Larix spp. and Pinus sylvestris) may gain an advantage over dark conifers in a predicted dry climate due to their resistance to water stress and wildfire. Habitats for new temperate broadleaf forests, non-existent in Siberia at present, are predicted by 2080.

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Держатели документа:
[Tchebakova, Nadezda M.
Parfenova, Elena I.] Russian Acad Sci, VNSukachev Inst Forest, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia

Доп.точки доступа:
Tchebakova, N.M.; Parfenova, E.I.

[Text] / N. M. Tchebakova, E. I. Parfenova, A. J. Soja // Reg. Envir. Chang. - 2011. - Vol. 11, Is. 4. - P817-827, DOI 10.1007/s10113-011-0210-4. - Cited References: 65. - This study was supported by grant #10-05-00941 of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research and NASA Research Opportunities in Space and Earth Sciences (ROSES) 2009 InterDisciplinary Science (IDS) 09-IDS09-0116. . - 11. - ISSN 1436-3798РУБ Environmental Sciences + Environmental Studies

Аннотация: Regional Siberian studies have already registered climate warming over the last several decades. We evaluated ongoing climate change in central Siberia between 1991 and 2010 and a baseline period, 1961-1990, and between 1991 and 2010 and Hadley 2020 climate change projections, represented by the moderate B1 and severe A2 scenarios. Our analysis showed that winters are already 2-3A degrees C warmer in the north and 1-2A degrees C warmer in the south by 2010. Summer temperatures increased by 1A degrees C in the north and by 1-2A degrees C in the south. Change in precipitation is more complicated, increasing on average 10% in middle latitudes and decreasing 10-20% in the south, promoting local drying in already dry landscapes. Hot spots of possible forest shifts are modeled using our Siberian bioclimatic vegetation model and mountain vegetation model with respect to climate anomalies observed pre-2010 and predicted 2020 Hadley scenarios. Forests are predicted to shift northwards along the central Siberian Plateau and upslope in both the northern and southern mountains. South of the central Siberian Plateau, steppe advancement is predicted that was previously non-existent north of 56A degrees N latitude. South of 56A degrees N, steppe expansion is predicted in the dry environments of Khakasiya and Tyva. In the southern mountains, it is predicted that the lower tree line will migrate upslope due to increased dryness in the intermontane Tyvan basins. The hot spots of vegetation change that are predicted by our models are confirmed by regional literature data.

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Держатели документа:
[Tchebakova, N. M.
Parfenova, E. I.] Russian Acad Sci Academgorodok, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Soja, A. J.] NASA Langley Res Ctr, Natl Inst Aerosp, Hampton, VA 23681 USA

Доп.точки доступа:
Tchebakova, N.M.; Parfenova, E.I.; Soja, A.J.

[Text] / A. S. Prokushkin [et al.] // Environ. Res. Lett. - 2011. - Vol. 6, Is. 4. - Ст. 45212, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045212. - Cited References: 63. - This work was supported by the joint US-Russia program between the RFBR and CRDF through grants 10-05-92513 and RUG1-2980-KR-10. Additional support was provided by joint Russian-French Programmes EC2CO, Environement Cotier PNEC and GDRI CAR-WET-SIB, ANR 'Arctic metals' and grant 11.G34.31.0014 of Russian Ministry of higher education and science. We greatly thank Sergey Tenishev for assistance with sample collection during harsh winter and spring periods, and Vladimir Ivanov who provided invaluable daily discharge data for the Nizhnyaya Tunguska and Tembenchi Rivers. We thank three anonymous reviewers for their fruitful and constructive comments that allowed improving greatly the quality of presentation. . - 14. - ISSN 1748-9326РУБ Environmental Sciences + Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Аннотация: Frequent measurements of dissolved organic (DOC) and inorganic (DIC) carbon concentrations in rivers during snowmelt, the entire ice-free season, and winter were made in five large watersheds (15 000-174 000 km(2)) of the Central Siberian Plateau (Yenisey River basin). These differ in the degree of continuous permafrost coverage, mean annual air temperature, and the proportion of tundra and forest vegetation. With an annual DOC export from the catchment areas of 2.8-4.7 gC m(-2) as compared to an annual DIC export of 1.0-2.8 gC m(-2), DOC was the dominant component of terrigenous C released to rivers. There was strong temporal variation in the discharge of DOC and DIC. Like for other rivers of the pan-arctic and boreal zones, snowmelt dominated annual fluxes, being 55-71% for water runoff, 64-82% for DOC and 37-41% for DIC. Likewise, DOC and DIC exhibited also a strong spatial variation in C fluxes, with both dissolved C species decreasing from south to north. The rivers of the southern part of the plateau had the largest flow-weighted DOC concentrations among those previously reported for Siberian rivers, but the smallest flow-weighted DIC concentrations. In the study area, DOC and DIC fluxes were negatively correlated with the distribution of continuous permafrost and positively correlated with mean annual air temperature. A synthesis of literature data shows similar trends from west to east, with an eastward decrease of dissolved C concentrations and an increased proportion of DOC in the total dissolved C flux. It appears that there are two contemporary limitations for river export of terrigenous C across Siberia: (1) low productivity of ecosystems with respect to potentially mobilizable organic C, slow weathering rates with concomitant small formation of bicarbonate, and/or wildfire disturbance limit the pools of organic and inorganic C that can be mobilized for transport in rivers (source-limited), and (2) mobilization of available pools of C is constrained by low precipitation in the severe continental climate of interior Siberia (transport-limited). Climate warming may reduce the source limitation by enhancing primary production and weathering rates, while causes leading to surmounting the transport limitation remain debatable due to uncertainties in predictions of precipitation trends and other likely sources of reported increase of river discharges.

WOS,
Scopus

Держатели документа:
[Prokushkin, A. S.
Korets, M. A.
Prokushkin, S. G.] VN Sukachev Inst Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Pokrovsky, O. S.
Shirokova, L. S.
Viers, J.] Univ Toulouse 3, CNRS, IRD, LMTG OMP, F-31400 Toulouse, France
[Amon, R. M. W.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Marine Sci, Galveston, TX 77553 USA
[Guggenberger, G.] Leibniz Univ Hannover, Inst Bodenkunde, D-30419 Hannover, Germany
[McDowell, W. H.] Univ New Hampshire, Dept Nat Resources & Environm, Durham, NH 03824 USA

Доп.точки доступа:
Prokushkin, A.S.; Pokrovsky, O.S.; Shirokova, L.S.; Korets, M.A.; Viers, J...; Prokushkin, S.G.; Amon, RMW; Guggenberger, G...; McDowell, W.H.

[Text] / N. M. Tchebakova [et al.] // Environ. Res. Lett. - 2011. - Vol. 6, Is. 4. - Ст. 45207, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045207. - Cited References: 38. - We would like to recognize the Northern Eurasian Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI) and the NASA Land Cover Land Use Change (LCLUC) program for providing the background that made this work possible. We are greatly appreciative of the current support for this work provided by the NASA InterDisciplinary Science grant NNH09ZDA001N-IDS and the Russian Foundation for Basic Research grant 10-05-00941. We thank our two anonymous reviewers for their very helpful comments. . - 11. - ISSN 1748-9326РУБ Environmental Sciences + Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Аннотация: Humans have traditionally cultivated steppe and forest-steppe on fertile soils for agriculture. Forests are predicted to shift northwards in a warmer climate and are likely to be replaced by forest-steppe and steppe ecosystems. We analyzed potential climate change impacts on agriculture in south-central Siberia believing that agriculture in traditionally cold Siberia may benefit from warming. Simple models determining crop range and regression models determining crop yields were constructed and applied to climate change scenarios for various time frames: pre-1960, 1960-90 and 1990-2010 using historic data and data taken from 2020 and 2080 HadCM3 B1 and A2 scenarios. From 50 to 85% of central Siberia is predicted to be climatically suitable for agriculture by the end of the century, and only soil potential would limit crop advance and expansion to the north. Crop production could increase twofold. Future Siberian climatic resources could provide the potential for a great variety of crops to grow that previously did not exist on these lands. Traditional Siberian crops could gradually shift as far as 500 km northwards (about 50-70 km/decade) within suitable soil conditions, and new crops nonexistent today may be introduced in the dry south that would necessitate irrigation. Agriculture in central Siberia would likely benefit from climate warming. Adaptation measures would sustain and promote food security in a warmer Siberia.

WOS,
Scopus

Держатели документа:
[Tchebakova, N. M.
Parfenova, E. I.] Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Lysanova, G. I.] Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Inst Geog, Irkutsk, Russia
[Soja, A. J.] NASA, Langley Res Ctr, NIA, Hampton, VA 23681 USA

Доп.точки доступа:
Tchebakova, N.M.; Parfenova, E.I.; Lysanova, G.I.; Soja, A.J.