Труды сотрудников ИЛ им. В.Н. Сукачева СО РАН

/ U. Buntgen, D. Arseneault, E. Boucher [et al.] // Dendrochronologia. - 2020. - Vol. 64. - Ст. 125757, DOI 10.1016/j.dendro.2020.125757. - Cited References:87. - We are thankful to everyone who made the raw tree-ring data available. Bruce Campbell, Nicola Di Cosmo, Rashit Hantemirov, Joe McConnell, Raphael Neukom, Rob Wilson, and two anonymous referees kindly commented on earlier versions of the manuscript. U.B. received funding from SustES -Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797). F.C.L. was supported by the Swedish Research Council (grant no 2018-01272). J.L. thanks for the support by the East Africa Peru India Climate Capacities (EPICC) project. M. McC. acknowledges support from the Initiative for the Science of the Human Past at Harvard (SoHP). This project is part of the International Climate Initiative (IKI). The Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU) supports this initiative on the basis of a decision adopted by the German Bundestag. A.V.K. received funding from the Russian Science Foundation (grant 18-1400072). M.S. acknowledges funding from the ERC under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement No 820047). D.A and E.B acknowledge support from the National Sciences and Engineering Research Council"(NSERC), and E.A. V. was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (No 19-77-30015). . - ISSN 1125-7865. - ISSN 1612-0051РУБ Forestry + Geography, Physical

Аннотация: Climate reconstructions for the Common Era are compromised by the paucity of annually-resolved and absolutely-dated proxy records prior to medieval times. Where reconstructions are based on combinations of different climate archive types (of varying spatiotemporal resolution, dating uncertainty, record length and predictive skill), it is challenging to estimate past amplitude ranges, disentangle the relative roles of natural and anthropogenic forcing, or probe deeper interrelationships between climate variability and human history. Here, we compile and analyse updated versions of all the existing summer temperature sensitive tree-ring width chronologies from the Northern Hemisphere that span the entire Common Era. We apply a novel ensemble approach to reconstruct extra-tropical summer temperatures from 1 to 2010 CE, and calculate uncertainties at continental to hemispheric scales. Peak warming in the 280s, 990s and 1020s, when volcanic forcing was low, was comparable to modern conditions until 2010 CE. The lowest June-August temperature anomaly in 536 not only marks the beginning of the coldest decade, but also defines the onset of the Late Antique Little Ice Age (LALIA). While prolonged warmth during Roman and medieval times roughly coincides with the tendency towards societal prosperity across much of the North Atlantic/European sector and East Asia, major episodes of volcanically-forced summer cooling often presaged widespread famines, plague outbreaks and political upheavals. Our study reveals a larger amplitude of spatially synchronized summer temperature variation during the first millennium of the Common Era than previously recognised.

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Держатели документа:
Univ Cambridge, Dept Geog, Cambridge CB2 3EN, England.
Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
Global Change Res Ctr CzechGlobe, Brno 60300, Czech Republic.
Masaryk Univ, Dept Geog, Fac Sci, Brno 61300, Czech Republic.
Univ Quebec, Dept Biol Chem & Geog, Rimouski, PQ G5L 3A1, Canada.
Univ Quebec, Dept Geog, Montreal, PQ H2X 3R9, Canada.
Siberian Fed Univ, Inst Ecol & Geog, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia.
Siberian Fed Univ, Inst Humanities, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia.
Univ Quebec Abitibi Temiscamingue, Forest Res Inst, Amos, PQ J9T 2L8, Canada.
Univ Arizona, Lab Tree Ring Res, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA.
Sukachev Inst Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia.
Justus Liebig Univ, Dept Geog, D-35390 Giessen, Germany.
Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.
Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Reg Climate Grp, S-40530 Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stockholm Univ, Dept Hist, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.
Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.
Swedish Coll Adv Study, S-15238 Uppsala, Sweden.
Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Harvard Univ, Dept Hist, Initiat Sci Human Past Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
Harvard Univ, Max Planck Harvard Res Ctr Archaeosci Ancient Med, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
Univ Innsbruck, Dept Geog, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
Johannes Gutenberg Univ Mainz, Dept Geog, D-55099 Mainz, Germany.
Univ Bern, Climate & Environm Phys CEP, Phys Inst, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland.
Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res OCCR, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland.

Доп.точки доступа:
Buntgen, U.; Arseneault, Dominique; Boucher, Etienne; Churakova, O. V.; Gennaretti, Fabio; Crivellaro, Alan; Hughes, Malcolm K.; Kirdyanov, Alexander V.; Kippel, Lara; Krusic, Paul J.; Linderholm, Hans W.; Ljungqvist, Fredrik C.; Ludescher, Josef; McCormick, Michael; Myglan, Vladimir S.; Nicolussi, Kurt; Piermattei, Alma; Oppenheimer, Clive; Reinig, Frederick; Sigl, Michael; Vaganov, Eugene A.; Esper, Jan; SustES -Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions [CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797]; Swedish Research CouncilSwedish Research Council [2018-01272]; East Africa Peru India Climate Capacities (EPICC) project; Initiative for the Science of the Human Past at Harvard (SoHP); Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU); Russian Science FoundationRussian Science Foundation (RSF) [18-1400072, 19-77-30015]; ERC under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme [820047]; National Sciences and Engineering Research Council"(NSERC)Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada