/ P. Groisman [et al.] // Prog. Earth Planet. Sci. - 2017. -
Vol. 4. - Ст. 41,
DOI 10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5. - Cited References:493. - Support for most of the US authors and contributors of this paper as well as the multiannual support for the office of the NEESPI Project Scientist was provided by the NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change (LCLUC) Program, in particular, by grants NNX13AC66G, NNX11AB77G, NNX13AN58G, NNX15AD10G, NAG5-11084, 08-LCLUC08-2-0003, NNX14AD88G, NNX08AW51G, NNX12AD34G, NNX14AD91G, and NNX15AP81G. The research carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, was also supported by the NASA LCLUC Program. Support of NASA grants 08-TE08-029 and NNH09ZDA001N-IDS for AS and NT are acknowledged. Research of MS is supported by Newton-al-Farabi Fund (grant 172722855). Grant 14.B25.31.0026 of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation provided support to PG, SG, NT, AS, OB, BP, and IP for their work conducted at the P. P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology. The Project "ARCTIC-ERA: ARCTIC climate change and its impact on Environment, infrastructures, and Resource Availability" sponsored by: ANR (France), RFBR (Russia), and the US NSF (grants 1717770 and 1558389) in response to Belmont Forum Collaborative Research Action on Arctic Observing and Research for Sustainability provided support for OZ, SG, BP, PG, and NS. A part of the paper is based on the research carried out with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (Project No. 15-06-08163 "Assessment and forecast of the socioeconomic and environmental implications of the climate change in the Arctic region"). Support for AP is provided by the Russian Government Program of Competitive Growth of Kazan Federal University (OpenLab Initiative). Support for JA is provided by grant NPUILO1417 of the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czechia.
. - ISSN 2197-4284
РУБ Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Аннотация: During the past several decades, the Earth system has changed significantly, especially across Northern Eurasia. Changes in the socio-economic conditions of the larger countries in the region have also resulted in a variety of regional environmental changes that can have global consequences. The Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI) has been designed as an essential continuation of the Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI), which was launched in 2004. NEESPI sought to elucidate all aspects of ongoing environmental change, to inform societies and, thus, to better prepare societies for future developments. A key principle of NEFI is that these developments must now be secured through science-based strategies co-designed with regional decision-makers to lead their societies to prosperity in the face of environmental and institutional challenges. NEESPI scientific research, data, and models have created a solid knowledge base to support the NEFI program. This paper presents the NEFI research vision consensus based on that knowledge. It provides the reader with samples of recent accomplishments in regional studies and formulates new NEFI science questions. To address these questions, nine research foci are identified and their selections are briefly justified. These foci include warming of the Arctic; changing frequency, pattern, and intensity of extreme and inclement environmental conditions; retreat of the cryosphere; changes in terrestrial water cycles; changes in the biosphere; pressures on land use; changes in infrastructure; societal actions in response to environmental change; and quantification of Northern Eurasia's role in the global Earth system. Powerful feedbacks between the Earth and human systems in Northern Eurasia (e.g., mega-fires, droughts, depletion of the cryosphere essential for water supply, retreat of sea ice) result from past and current human activities (e.g., large-scale water withdrawals, land use, and governance change) and potentially restrict or provide new opportunities for future human activities. Therefore, we propose that integrated assessment models are needed as the final stage of global change assessment. The overarching goal of this NEFI modeling effort will enable evaluation of economic decisions in response to changing environmental conditions and justification of mitigation and adaptation efforts.
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Scopus Держатели документа: NOAA, Natl Ctr Environm Informat, Fed Bldg,151 Patton Ave, Asheville, NC 28801 USA.
Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, 291 McCormick Dr, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA.
Marine Biol Lab, Ecosyst Ctr, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA.
South Dakota State Univ, Geospatial Sci Ctr Excellence, 1021 Medary Ave,Wecota Hall 506B, Brookings, SD 57007 USA.
RAS, Sukachev Inst Forest, Fed Res Ctr, Krasnoyarsk Sci Ctr,SB, 50-28 Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia.
Natl Inst Environm Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan.
MIT, Joint Program Sci & Policy Global Change, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA.
NASA Headquarters, NASA Land Cover Land Use Change Program, Mail Suite 3B74,Room 3Y77,300 E St SW, Washington, DC 20546 USA.
RAS, PP Shirshov Inst Oceanol, 36 Nakhimovsky Ave, Moscow 117218, Russia.
Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog, 673 Auditorium Rd, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA.
Univ Copenhagen, Sect Geog, Dept Geosci & Nat Resource Managemen, Oster Voldgade 10, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark.
RAS, Inst Econ Forecasting, 47 Nakhimovsky Ave, Moscow 117418, Russia.
Univ New Hampshire, Earth Syst Res Ctr, Morse Hall,8 Coll Rd,Rm 21, Durham, NH 03824 USA.
Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, 1121 LeFrak Hall,7251 Preinkert Dr, College Pk, MD 20742 USA.
George Washington Univ, Dept Geog, Old Main Bldg,1922 F St NW, Washington, DC 20052 USA.
CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, MS 300-235,4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, CA 91109 USA.
Univ Michigan, Sch Nat Resources & Environm, 440 Church St, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.
Charles Univ Prague, Fac Sci, Dept Expt Plant Biol, Vinicna 5, Prague 12844, Czech Republic.
Michigan State Univ, Ctr Global Change & Earth Observat, 1405 S Harrison Rd, E Lansing, MI 48823 USA.
Univ Reading, Dept Geog & Environm Sci, Reading RG6 6AB, Berks, England.
IIASA, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria.
State Hydrol Inst, 2nd Lane, St Petersburg 199053, Russia.
NASA Langley Res Ctr, Natl Inst Aerosp, 21 Langley Blvd,MS 420, Hampton, VA 23681 USA.
Univ Oklahoma, Dept Geog & Environm Sustainabil, 100 East Boyd St,SEC Suite 510, Norman, OK 73019 USA.
Russian Inst Hydrometeorol Informat, 6 Koroleva St, Obninsk 249020, Kaluga Area, Russia.
Michigan Tech Res Inst, 3600 Green Court,Suite 100, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA.
Miami Univ, Dept Geog, 250 S Patterson Ave, Oxford, OH 45056 USA.
Purdue Univ, 550 Stadium Mall Dr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.
Joseph Fourier Univ Grenoble 1, Lab Glaciol & Geophys Environm, 54 Rue Moliere,BP 96, F-38402 St Martin Dheres, France.
Hydrol Sci & Serv Corp, 920 Rockhold Dr, Asheville, NC 28804 USA.
Kazan Fed Univ, Inst Environm Sci, Tovarishcheskaya Str 5, Kazan 420097, Russia.
Доп.точки доступа: Groisman, Pavel; Shugart, Herman; Kicklighter, David; Henebry, Geoffrey; Tchebakova, Nadezhda; Maksyutov, Shamil; Monier, Erwan; Gutman, Garik; Gulev, Sergey; Qi, Jiaguo; Prishchepov, Alexander; Kukavskaya, Elena; Porfiriev, Boris; Shiklomanov, Alexander; Loboda, Tatiana; Shiklomanov, Nikolay; Nghiem, Son; Bergen, Kathleen; Albrechtova, Jana; Chen, Jiquan; Shahgedanova, Maria; Shvidenko, Anatoly; Speranskaya, Nina; Soja, Amber; de Beurs, Kirsten; Bulygina, Olga; McCarty, Jessica; Zhuang, Qianlai; Zolina, Olga; NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change (LCLUC) Program [NNX13AC66G, NNX11AB77G, NNX13AN58G, NNX15AD10G, NAG5-11084, 08-LCLUC08-2-0003, NNX14AD88G, NNX08AW51G, NNX12AD34G, NNX14AD91G, NNX15AP81G]; NASA LCLUC Program; NASA [08-TE08-029, NNH09ZDA001N-IDS]; Newton-al-Farabi Fund [172722855]; Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation [14.B25.31.0026]; ANR (France); RFBR (Russia); US NSF [1717770, 1558389]; Russian Foundation for Basic Research [15-06-08163]; Russian Government Program of Competitive Growth of Kazan Federal University (OpenLab Initiative); Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czechia [NPUILO1417]
