Рубрики:
LEAF-AREA INDEX
REFLECTANCE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
FARMING-PASTORAL ECOTONE
NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION
FOREST-STEPPE ECOTONE
SPACE-TIME CLIMATE
INNER-MONGOLIA
TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS
NITROGEN CONCENTRATION
STOMATAL CONDUCTANCE
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Evapotranspiration -- Mongolian Plateau -- Terrestrial Ecosystem Model -- MODIS -- Climate change -- Land cover change
LEAF-AREA INDEX
REFLECTANCE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
FARMING-PASTORAL ECOTONE
NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION
FOREST-STEPPE ECOTONE
SPACE-TIME CLIMATE
INNER-MONGOLIA
TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS
NITROGEN CONCENTRATION
STOMATAL CONDUCTANCE
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Evapotranspiration -- Mongolian Plateau -- Terrestrial Ecosystem Model -- MODIS -- Climate change -- Land cover change
Аннотация: Adequate quantification of evapotranspiration (ET) is crucial to assess how climate change and land cover change (LCC) interact with the hydrological cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. The Mongolian Plateau plays a unique role in the global climate system due to its ecological vulnerability, high sensitivity to climate change and disturbances, and limited water resources. Here, we used a version of the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model that has been modified to use Penman-Monteith (PM) based algorithms to calculate ET. Comparison of site-level ET estimates from the modified model with ET measured at eddy covariance (EC) sites showed better agreement than ET estimates from the MODIS ET product, which overestimates ET during the winter months. The modified model was then used to simulate ET during the 21st century under six climate change scenarios by excluding/including climate-induced LCC. We found that regional annual ET varies from 188 to 286 mm yr(-1) across all scenarios, and that it increases between 0.11 mm yr(-2) and 0.55 mm yr(-2) during the 21st century. A spatial gradient of ET that increases from the southwest to the northeast is consistent in all scenarios. Regional ET in grasslands, boreal forests and semi-desert/deserts ranges from 242 to 374 mm yr(-1), 213 to 278 mm yr(-1) and 100 to 199 mm yr(-1), respectively; and the degree of the ET increase follows the order of grassland, semi-desert/desert, and boreal forest. Across the plateau, climate-induced LCC does not lead to a substantial change (<5%) in ET relative to a static land cover, suggesting that climate change is more important than LCC in determining regional ET. Furthermore, the differences between precipitation and ET suggest that the available water for human use (water availability) on the plateau will not change significantly during the 21st century. However, more water is available and less area is threatened by water shortage in the Business-As-Usual emission scenarios relative to level-one stabilization emission scenarios. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Полный текст,
WOS,
Scopus
Держатели документа:
[Liu, Yaling
Zhuang, Qianlai
Chen, Min
He, Yujie] Purdue Univ, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
[Zhuang, Qianlai
Bowling, Laura] Purdue Univ, Dept Agron, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
[Pan, Zhihua] China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
[Pan, Zhihua] Minist Agr, Key Ecol & Environm Expt Stn Field Sci Observat H, Inner Mongolia 011705, Peoples R China
[Tchebakova, Nadja
Parfenova, Elena] Russian Acad Sci, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Sokolov, Andrei] MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
[Kicklighter, David
Melillo, Jerry] Marine Biol Lab, Ctr Ecosyst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[Sirin, Andrey] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Forest Sci, Lab Peatland Forestry & Ameliorat, Uspenskoye 143030, Moscow Oblast, Russia
[Zhou, Guangsheng] Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Inst Bot, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
[Chen, Jiquan] Univ Toledo, Dept Environm Sci, Toledo, OH 43606 USA
[Miralles, Diego] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England
Доп.точки доступа:
Liu, Y.L.; Zhuang, Q.L.; Chen, M...; Pan, Z.H.; Tchebakova, N...; Sokolov, A...; Kicklighter, D...; Melillo, J...; Sirin, A...; Zhou, G.S.; He, Y.J.; Chen, J.Q.; Bowling, L...; Miralles, D...; Parfenova, E...; NASA [NASA-NNX09AI26G, NN-H-04-Z-YS-005-N, NNX09AM55G]; Department of Energy [DE-FG02-08ER64599]; National Science Foundation [NSF-1028291, NSF-0919331, NSF-0630319]; European Space Agency WACMOS-ET project [4000106711/12/I-NB]