Труды сотрудников ИЛ им. В.Н. Сукачева СО РАН

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Найдено документов в текущей БД: 2

    Impact of the Arctic Oscillation pattern on interannual forest fire variability in Central Siberia
[Text] / H. . Balzter [et al.] // Geophys. Res. Lett. - 2005. - Vol. 32, Is. 14. - Ст. L14709, DOI 10.1029/2005GL022526. - Cited References: 20 . - 4. - ISSN 0094-8276
РУБ Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Аннотация: Russia's forests play an important role in the global carbon cycle. Because of their scale and interannual variability, forest fires can change the direction of the net carbon flux over Eurasia. 2002 and 2003 were the first two consecutive years in the atmospheric record in which the carbon content rose by more than 2 ppm per year. Northern Hemisphere fires could be the reason. We show that 2002 and 2003 were the two years with the largest fire extent in Central Siberia since 1996 using new measurements of burned forest area in Central Siberia derived from remote sensing. To quantify the relationship between Siberian forest fires and climate variability, we compare these measurements with time-series of large-scale climatic indices for the period 1992-2003. This paper is amongst the first studies that analyse statistical relationships between interannual variability of forest fires in Russia and climate indices. Significant relationships of annual burned forest area with the Arctic Oscillation, summer temperatures, precipitation, and the El Nino index NINO4 were found (p0.1). In contrast, we find no significant relation with the El Nino indices NINO1, NINO3 or SOI (p0.1). Interannual forest fire variability in Central Siberia could best be explained by a combination of the Arctic Oscillation index and regional summer temperatures (r(2)=0.80).

WOS,
Scopus

Держатели документа:
Ctr Ecol & Hydrol Monks Wood, Climate & Land Surface Syst Interact Ctr, Huntingdon PE28 2LS, Cambs, England
Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
Univ Jena, Inst Geog, D-07743 Jena, Germany

Доп.точки доступа:
Balzter, H...; Gerard, F.F.; George, C.T.; Rowland, C.S.; Jupp, T.E.; McCallum, I...; Shvidenko, A...; Nilsson, S...; Sukhinin, A...; Onuchin, A...; Schmullius, C...

    The effects of climate, permafrost and fire on vegetation change in Siberia in a changing climate
[Text] / N. M. Tchebakova, E. . Parfenova, A. J. Soja // Environ. Res. Lett. - 2009. - Vol. 4, Is. 4. - Ст. 45013, DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045013. - Cited References: 49 . - 9. - ISSN 1748-9326
РУБ Environmental Sciences + Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Рубрики:
NORTHERN EURASIA
   BOREAL FOREST

   MODEL

   PARAMETERS

Кл.слова (ненормированные):
climate change -- forest fire -- permafrost -- vegetation -- Siberia

Аннотация: Observations and general circulation model projections suggest significant temperature increases in Siberia this century that are expected to have profound effects on Siberian vegetation. Potential vegetation change across Siberia was modeled, coupling our Siberian BioClimatic Model with several Hadley Centre climate change scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080, with explicit consideration of permafrost and fire activity. In the warmer and drier climate projected by these scenarios, Siberian forests are predicted to decrease and shift northwards and forest-steppe and steppe ecosystems are predicted to dominate over half of Siberia due to the dryer climate by 2080. Despite the large predicted increases in warming, permafrost is not predicted to thaw deep enough to sustain dark (Pinus sibirica, Abies sibirica, and Picea obovata) taiga. Over eastern Siberia, larch (Larix dahurica) taiga is predicted to continue to be the dominant zonobiome because of its ability to withstand continuous permafrost. The model also predicts new temperate broadleaf forest and forest-steppe habitats by 2080. Potential fire danger evaluated with the annual number of high fire danger days (Nesterov index is 4000-10 000) is predicted to increase by 2080, especially in southern Siberia and central Yakutia. In a warming climate, fuel load accumulated due to replacement of forest by steppe together with frequent fire weather promotes high risks of large fires in southern Siberia and central Yakutia, where wild fires would create habitats for grasslands because the drier climate would no longer be suitable for forests.

WOS

Держатели документа:
[Tchebakova, N. M.
Parfenova, E.] Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, VN Sukachev Inst Forest, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia
[Soja, A. J.] NASA Langley Res Ctr, NIA, Hampton, VA 23681 USA

Доп.точки доступа:
Tchebakova, N.M.; Parfenova, E...; Soja, A.J.