Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Cognitive systems -- Fuzzy rules -- Fuzzy systems -- Graphic methods -- Large scale systems -- Cause-and-effect relationships -- Fuzzy cognitive map -- Graph-based modeling -- Modeling and forecasting -- Multivariate time series -- Real-world -- Well being -- Forecasting
Аннотация: In this paper we address the problem of modeling and forecasting of wellbeing. First, we apply a graph-based model of a Fuzzy cognitive map to discover cause-and-effect relationships among indicators of well-being. Second, the discovered model is applied to forecast the future state of well-being. The model is constructed using historical multivariate time series containing six consolidated indexes that represent well-being on the considered territory. Experiments with real-world data provided evidence for the usefulness of the proposed approach. Moreover, the interpretation of the obtained FCM graph led to the discovery of unknown dependencies within the data. The analysis of the unknown dependencies requires further research. © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016.
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Держатели документа:
Institute of Computational Modelling SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation
The University of Silesia, ul. Bedzinska 39, Sosnowiec, Poland
Доп.точки доступа:
Penkova, T.; Froelich, W.