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Principle of the worst scenario in the modelling past and future of biosphere dynamics / S. I. Bartsev, A. G. Degermendzhi, D. V. Erokhin // Ecological Modelling. - 2008. - Vol. 216, Is. 2. - P160-171, DOI 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.03.002 . - ISSN 0304-3800
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Irreversible biosphere changes -- Minimal model of biosphere -- The worst scenario principle -- Biospherics -- agricultural land -- anthropogenic effect -- atmosphere-biosphere interaction -- carbon dioxide -- deforestation -- Little Ice Age -- numerical model -- Eurasia -- Europe
Аннотация: The "biosphere-climate" system is subjected to different influences (influx of anthropogenic CO2 and pollutants, deforestation, harmful land management, biological species depopulation, etc.). Therefore, the vital question arises: "Can these influences lead to irreversible negative changes in the climate-biosphere system or a global ecological catastrophe?" The possibility of irreversible changes may be not very high, but one cannot ignore it. So the main aim of our investigation is to evaluate possible consequences of human impact on the biosphere focusing on irreversible changes of it. Traditional mathematical complicated models describe the biosphere in great detail, but the large number of equations and parameters leads to accumulation of uncertainties in the forecast due to inevitable uncertainties of experimental estimations of model parameters. An approach based on the principle of the worst scenario was proposed. Minimization of mathematical model with respect to this principle is conducted to study limiting (but possible) versions of models in which the contribution of the possible compensatory and smoothing mechanisms is minimal. Namely the most unfavorable scenarios (corresponding to the values of parameters at the boundaries of confidence interval) have to be considered in estimating consequences of anthropogenic impact. One of the fastest CO2 releasing mechanisms, based on the positive feedback effect, was considered in the context of the worst scenario principle. The family of simple mathematical models was created for biosphere dynamics representation on different timescales. The main result of the investigation consists in confirmation of the possibility of negative and irreversible changes in the "biosphere-climate" system, caused by amplification of the positive feedback: "anthropogenic emission of CO2 - temperature increase - additional CO2 emission due to decomposition of soil organics". Crucial parameters of models, responsible for avalanche-like biosphere changes, are determined. A realizability of hypotheses on anthropogenic causes of Little Ice Age was estimated by corresponding minimal model. Model were used to show the feasibility of the mechanism describing the changing of agricultural field species into indigenous forests in Europe during the Plague, which led to CO2 decrease and temperature fall. В© 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Bartsev, S.I.; Degermendzhi, A.G.; Erokhin, D.V.

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Man-made closed ecosystems-instruments for future space exploration by man / J. I. Gitelson // SAE Technical Papers. - 1994. - 24th International Conference on Environmental Systems and 5th European Symposium on Space Environmental Control Systems (20 June 1994 through 23 June 1994, FriedrichshafenDOI 10.4271/941611
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Human knowledge -- International researches -- Long-term effects -- Low concentrations -- Russian Academy of Sciences -- SIBERIA -- Space explorations -- Space research -- Ecosystems
Аннотация: Artificial, closed ecosystems are potentially useful tools with which to explore ecosystem interactions, allowing investigations of the biology, physiology and biophysics of complex communities. They can also be used to evaluate the long-term effects of environmental constituents that are usually present at very low concentrations. The introduction of humans into such systems extends their usefulness even further, allowing the study of the influence of the environment on people, and the effects of people on the environment. Because of the great potential of such systems in adding to human knowledge, and their considerable expense, it is appropriate that such activities be international studies. The Institute of Biophysics of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Siberian Branch) has established, The International Research Center for Closed Ecosystems (Biospherics). It is located in Central Siberia near Krasnoyarsk on the Yenissei river, and is open to all interested investigators. В© Copyright 1994 Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Gitelson, J.I.

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"Biospherics" approach for studies of natural and artificial ecosystems / N. S. Pechurkin, L. A. Somova // Advances in Space Research. - 2008. - Vol. 41, Is. 5. - P691-695, DOI 10.1016/j.asr.2007.09.021 . - ISSN 0273-1177
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Biospherics -- Biotic turnover -- Limiting substance -- Natural and artificial ecosystems -- Biogeochemistry -- Ecosystems -- Mathematical models -- Artificial ecosystems -- Energy fluxes -- Biospherics
Аннотация: The main unifying feature of natural and artificial ecosystems is their biotic turnover (cycling) of substances which is induced with energy fluxes. A new integrating scientific discipline - Biospherics - studies biotic cycles (both in experiments and in mathematical models) of different degree of closure and complexity. By its origin, Biospherics is to be connected with extensive studies of Biosphere by Russian academician Vladimir Vernadsky. He developed and used "empirical generalizations" based on innumerous observations, comparisons and reflections. His "bio-geo-chemical principles" of Biosphere and ecosystems development have more qualitative than quantitative nature. Quantitative criteria to evaluate the efficiency of natural and artificial ecosystems are to take into account energy fluxes and their use in ecosystems of different types. At least, three of them are of value for estimation of natural and artificial ecosystems' functional activities. Energy principle of extensive development (EPED), energy principle of intensive development (EPID) and main universal (generalized) criterion (MUC). The last criterion (Principle) characterizes the specific cycling rate of limiting chemical elements in multi-organism systems, developing under external energy fluxes. Its value can be a quantitative measure of effectiveness for every ecosystem functioning, including our global Biosphere. Different examples of these (above-mentioned) integrated criteria actions are presented and analyzed in the paper. В© 2007 COSPAR.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics SB, Russian Academy of Sciences, Akademgorodok, 660036 Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Pechurkin, N.S.; Somova, L.A.

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Methodology of biospherics for theoretical sciences and practical use. / N. S. Pechurkin, T. Maryasova // Life support & biosphere science : international journal of earth space. - 2000. - Vol. 7, Is. 2. - P219-224 . - ISSN 1069-9422
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
article -- biomass -- ecosystem -- energy metabolism -- food chain -- microclimate -- theoretical model -- Biomass -- Ecological Systems, Closed -- Ecosystem -- Energy Metabolism -- Food Chain -- Life Support Systems -- Models, Theoretical
Аннотация: This article deals with some methodological aspects of biospherics connected with theoretical sciences development and prospective use for practical application. Properties of experimental objects, methods and goals of biospherics as synthesising science have been discussed. The problem of stability of incomplete (natural and artificial) ecosystems has been considered. The concept of the ecosystem health based on effective functioning of different types of ecosystems has been developed.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics, SBRAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Pechurkin, N.S.; Maryasova, T.

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Biospherics: a new science / N. Pechurkin // Life support & biosphere science : international journal of earth space. - 1994. - Vol. 1, Is. 2. - P85-87 . - ISSN 1069-9422
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
article -- astronomy -- human -- microclimate -- Russian Federation -- space flight -- theoretical model -- Earth (Planet) -- Ecological Systems, Closed -- Humans -- Life Support Systems -- Models, Theoretical -- Russia -- Space Flight
Аннотация: The experience of human existence in the last few decades shows clearly that developed civilizations come into greater and greater antagonism with nature. Modern technology cannot on its own coexist easily with the biosphere without destroying key biological components. The necessity of comprehending the laws of development of the biosphere as a single whole is becoming more and more obvious and urgent. Because it is so precious and fragile, the biosphere cannot be subjected to any direct study which may harm it. Therefore this science depends on the study of analogs and small models such as artificial ecological systems with differing degrees of complexity and closure. On such model ecosystems we can (and must) study both the particular laws of development of individual elements and components of the ecosystems, and the general principles of turnover of the entire biospheric system. As this new science is being formed, it is necessary to develop the scientific basis of harmonizing the relationship of humanity and nature, to open the path to the next phase, termed the noosphere by Vernadsky. The principal objects of study are closed ecological systems, from simple microsystems to more sophisticated human life-support systems under extreme conditions on the Earth and in space. Biospherics by its very nature knows no political boundaries, and is by necessity an international effort. As such, it is deserving of support both intellectually and economically from all peoples.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics (Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences), International Center for Closed Ecological Systems, Krasnoyarsk, Russia. : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Pechurkin, N.

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Evolution and present status of experimental manned ecological systems for long-term human life support - Bios, developed by the institute of biophysics of Russian academy of sciences in Krasnoyarsk (Siberia) / J. I. Gitelson, A. G. Degermendzhy // Proceedings of the International Astronautical Congress, IAC : International Astronautical Federation, IAF, 2015. - Vol. 1: 66th International Astronautical Congress 2015: Space - The Gateway for Mankind's Future, IAC 2015 (12 October 2015 through 16 October 2015, ) Conference code: 122921. - P243-250
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Arid regions -- Biochemistry -- Biospherics -- Plant shutdowns -- Proteins -- Reconfigurable hardware -- Closed ecological systems -- Corrective actions -- Essential proteins -- Extreme conditions -- Human intelligence -- Long-term experiments -- Physiological effects -- Russian Academy of Sciences -- Ecology
Аннотация: Closed ecological systems are of two-fold interest - as models of the Earth's biosphere explorable in experiments and as a facility for long-term autonomous human life support beyond the Earth. Theoretical analysis and experimental implementation of highly closed manned systems has been the subject of studies at the Institute of Biophysics (Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch) for many years. BIOS systems of increasing complexity with complete regeneration of atmosphere, water and partially food have been realized. In BIOS-3 experiments the system inhabited by 2-3 researchers for 4-6 months maintained its metabolic equilibrium without any negative physiological effect on the crew, which proves its sustainable condition. Specific for BIOS-3 is internal control by the people inhabiting the system. So, BIOS-3 is the first experimental implementation of V.l. Vernadsky's idea about the noosphere - habitable Biosphere controlled by human intelligence. Contrary to predictions of many environmentalists the closedness of the ecosystem is a factor that does not reduce, but increases its sustainability and makes its use for reliable life support outside the Earth realistic. The system is sustainable owing to permanent feedback between the monitoring of few key parameters of the system and automatic corrective actions on them. Main object of control is photo-biosynthesis regenerating parameters of human habitat disturbed by his vital activities. This principle has been realized in BIOS system and proved its reliability in long-term experiments. A new challenge is specified-optimal increase of trophic closedness of the system by reproduction within it essential proteins (peptides and amino acids), lipids, vitamins and other essential compounds. Alternative lines of attack on this problem by state-of-the-art biotechnological methods, GMO including, are under analysis. Reduced BIOS version - without complete closure - can be a breakthrough instrument to improve the quality of life of people living under extreme conditions on the Earth - in polar latitudes (Arctic, Antarctic), in deserts, in high mountains.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation

Доп.точки доступа:
Gitelson, J. I.; Degermendzhy, A. G.

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