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Evidence for two abrupt warming events of SST in the last century / C. A. Varotsos [et al.] // Theoretical and Applied Climatology. - 2013. - P1-10, DOI 10.1007/s00704-013-0935-8 . - ISSN 0177-798X
Аннотация: We have recently suggested that the warming in the sea surface temperature (SST) since 1900, did not occur smoothly and slowly, but with two rapid shifts in 1925/1926 and 1987/1988, which are more obvious over the tropics and the northern midlatitudes. Apart from these shifts, most of the remaining SST variability can be explained by the El Nino Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Here, we provide evidence that the timing of these two SST shifts (around 60В years) corresponds well to the quasi-periodicity of many natural cycles, like that of the PDO, the global and Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature, the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone, the Southwest US Drought data, the length of day, the air surface temperature, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the change in the location of the centre of mass of the solar system. In addition, we show that there exists a strong seasonal link between SST and ENSO over the tropics and the NH midlatitudes, which becomes stronger in autumn of the Northern Hemisphere. Finally, we found that before and after each SST shift, the intrinsic properties of the SST time series obey stochastic dynamics, which is unaffected by the modulation of these two shifts. In particular, the SST fluctuations for the time period between the two SST shifts exhibit 1/f-type long-range correlations, which are frequently encountered in a large variety of natural systems. Our results have potential implications for future climate shifts and crossing tipping points due to an interaction of intrinsic climate cycles and anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. В© 2013 Springer-Verlag Wien.

Scopus,
Scopus
Держатели документа:
Climate Research Group, Division of Environmental Physics and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, University Campus Bldg. Phys. V, Athens, 15784, Greece
British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Institute of Biophysics, SB RAS, Russian Academy of Sciences, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Varotsos, C.A.; Franzke, C.L.E.; Efstathiou, M.N.; Degermendzhi, A.G.

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Global minimal model of perennial dynamics of carbon in biosphere / S. I. Bartsev, A. G. Degermendzhi, D. V. Erokhin // Doklady Akademii Nauk. - 2005. - Vol. 401, Is. 2. - С. 233-237 . - ISSN 0869-5652
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Atmospheric temperature -- Carbon -- Climatology -- Ecology -- Greenhouse effect -- Thermal effects -- Biosphere -- Carbon perennial dynamics -- Biology
Аннотация: The suggested model is not intended for describing most probable biosphere dynamics but only for estimating the possibility of catastrophic variant of biosphere dynamics development at antropogenic CO2 emission into atmosphere due to different temperature dependences for key biological biosphere component growth. The main result is demonstration of the possibility of irreversible climate changes and biosphere destruction resulting from interaction of biological processes with greenhouse effect.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Inst. Biofiziki SO RAN, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Bartsev, S.I.; Degermendzhi, A.G.; Erokhin, D.V.

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Long-term dynamics of chlorophyll concentration in the ocean surface layer (by space data) / A. Shevyrnogov, G. Vysotskaya // Advances in Space Research. - 2007. - Vol. 39, Is. 1. - P197-202, DOI 10.1016/j.asr.2006.10.015 . - ISSN 0273-1177
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Dynamics -- Ocean -- Phytopigment -- Climatology -- Concentration (process) -- Hydrology -- Marine biology -- Ocean currents -- Plants (botany) -- Biosphere -- Ocean -- Phytopigments -- Chlorophyll
Аннотация: To preserve the biosphere and to use it efficiently, it is necessary to gain a deep insight into the dynamics of the primary production process on our planet. Variability of chlorophyll concentration in the ocean is one of the most important components of this process. These investigations are, however, very labor-consuming, because of the difficulties related to the accessibility of the water surface and its large size. In this work long-term changes in chlorophyll concentration in the surface layer of the ocean have been analyzed on the basis of the CZCS data for 7.5 years from 1979 to 1986 and the SeaWiFS data from 1997 to 2004. It has been shown that the average chlorophyll concentration calculated in all investigated areas varies moderately. However, when analyzing spatially local trends, the areas have been detected that have significant rise and fall of chlorophyll concentrations. Some interesting features of the long-term dynamics of chlorophyll concentration have been found. The opposite directions of long-term trends (essential increase or decrease) cannot be explained only by large-scale hydrological phenomena in the ocean (currents, upwellings, etc.). The measured chlorophyll concentration results from the balance between production and destruction processes. Which process dominates is determined by various hydrophysical, hydrobiological, and climatic processes, leading to sharp rises or falls of the concentration. It is important to estimate the scale of the areas in which this or that process dominates. Therefore, the study addresses not only the dynamics of the mean value but also the dynamics of the areas in which the dominance of certain factors has led to a sharp fall or rise in chlorophyll concentration. Thus, the obtained results can be used to estimate long-term changes in the ocean biota. В© 2006 COSPAR.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics of SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, 660036 Akademgorodok, Russian Federation
Institute of Computational Modeling of SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, 660036 Akademgorodok, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Shevyrnogov, A.; Vysotskaya, G.

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Trends of chlorophyll concentration in the surface layer of the Northern and Central Atlantic, a satellite data-based study / A. Shevyrnogov, G. Vysotskaya, E. Shevyrnogov // Advances in Space Research. - 2002. - Vol. 30, Is. 11. - P2535-2540, DOI 10.1016/S0273-1177(02)80332-5 . - ISSN 0273-1177
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
Chlorophyll -- Climatology -- Data reduction -- Ocean engineering -- Satellites -- Surface properties -- Chlorophyll concentration -- Space research -- chlorophyll -- pigment -- remote sensing -- seasonality -- surface water -- Atlantic Ocean
Аннотация: The new data on anomalies in seasonal dynamics of chlorophyll concentration in the ocean have altered the approach to the analysis of long-term trends of phytopigments in the surface layer of the ocean. Zones have been found in which at various times there was a many-fold increase in chlorophyll concentration versus its usual level. These changes are local in time and space. If anomalies in the long-term tendencies in the change of phytopigment surface distribution in the ocean are ignored in the analysis, the resulting picture will inadequately reflect the real processes. The work presents the results of the analysis of long-term trends of chlorophyll concentration on the basis of the CZCS satellite data in the Atlantic Ocean. The results are given as maps representing different variants of trends. The data obtained can be used to analyze the consequences of long-term changes of climate and changes in the interaction between the atmosphere and the ocean. В©2002 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics of SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation
Inst. of Comp. Modelling of SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Shevyrnogov, A.; Vysotskaya, G.; Shevyrnogov, E.

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The analysis of seasonal activity of photosynthesis and efficiency of various vegetative communities on a basis NDVI for modeling of biosphere processes / Yu. D. Ivanova [et al.] // Advances in Space Research. - 2007. - Vol. 39, Is. 1. - P95-99, DOI 10.1016/j.asr.2006.02.028 . - ISSN 0273-1177
Кл.слова (ненормированные):
NDVI -- Plant communities -- Synoptic parameters -- Biomass -- Climatology -- Parameter estimation -- Photosynthesis -- Plants (botany) -- Statistical methods -- Time series analysis -- NDVI -- Plant communities -- Seasonal activity -- Synoptic parameters -- Vegetation
Аннотация: NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) is proposed as an area-dependent climatic variable, which reflects climatically significant events and processes. NDVI is taken as a simple quantitative indicator of the amount of photosynthetically active biomass. Mean values of NDVI have been calculated for the period between 1996 and 2001. NDVI time series have been analyzed in conjunction with meaningful synoptic parameters that influence the behavior of plants in different plant communities of Eastern Siberia (tundra, taiga, and steppe). Based on GIS technologies, statistical tests have been carried out and correlations between the study parameters have been found. В© 2007.

Scopus
Держатели документа:
Institute of Biophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Akademgorodok, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russian Federation
Krasnoyarsk State Technical University, Kirensky 26, Krasnoyarsk, 660074, Russian Federation : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Ivanova, Yu.D.; Bartsev, S.I.; Pochekutov, A.A.; Kartushinsky, A.V.

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Evidence for two abrupt warming events of SST in the last century [Text] / C. A. Varotsos [et al.] // Theor. Appl. Climatol. - 2014. - Vol. 116, Is. 1-2. - P51-60, DOI 10.1007/s00704-013-0935-8. - Cited References: 60 . - ISSN 0177-798X. - ISSN 1434-4483

РУБ Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Рубрики:
SCALING BEHAVIOR
   OZONE DEPLETION
   PERMAFROST THAW
   CLIMATE SYSTEM
   AIR-POLLUTION
   LONG-MEMORY
   TEMPERATURE
   OSCILLATION
   VARIABILITY
   DYNAMICS
Аннотация: We have recently suggested that the warming in the sea surface temperature (SST) since 1900, did not occur smoothly and slowly, but with two rapid shifts in 1925/1926 and 1987/1988, which are more obvious over the tropics and the northern midlatitudes. Apart from these shifts, most of the remaining SST variability can be explained by the El Nio Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Here, we provide evidence that the timing of these two SST shifts (around 60 years) corresponds well to the quasi-periodicity of many natural cycles, like that of the PDO, the global and Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature, the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone, the Southwest US Drought data, the length of day, the air surface temperature, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the change in the location of the centre of mass of the solar system. In addition, we show that there exists a strong seasonal link between SST and ENSO over the tropics and the NH midlatitudes, which becomes stronger in autumn of the Northern Hemisphere. Finally, we found that before and after each SST shift, the intrinsic properties of the SST time series obey stochastic dynamics, which is unaffected by the modulation of these two shifts. In particular, the SST fluctuations for the time period between the two SST shifts exhibit 1/f-type long-range correlations, which are frequently encountered in a large variety of natural systems. Our results have potential implications for future climate shifts and crossing tipping points due to an interaction of intrinsic climate cycles and anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.

WOS,
Scopus
Держатели документа:
[Varotsos, Costas A.
Efstathiou, Maria N.] Univ Athens, Climate Res Grp, Div Environm Phys & Meteorol, Fac Phys, Athens 15784, Greece
[Franzke, Christian L. E.] British Antarctic Survey, Nat Environm Res Council, Cambridge CB3 0ET, England
[Degermendzhi, Andrei G.] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Biophys, SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
ИБФ СО РАН : 660036, Красноярск, Академгородок, д. 50, стр. 50

Доп.точки доступа:
Varotsos, C.A.; Franzke, CLE; Efstathiou, M.N.; Degermendzhi, A.G.

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